Brigham Young vs Baylor 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Brigham Young winning 45% of simulations, and Baylor 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Brigham Young commits fewer turnovers in 13% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Baylor wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tyler Allgeier is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Gerry Bohanon is averaging 283 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BAY -6 --- Over/Under line is 50.5
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